iBet: Premier League relegation market

Lay Aston Villa for relegation at 4.5 to 1 with Betfair

Aston Villa are in freefall and are most likely going to be in the relegation zone after the first round of New Years games, when they play Chelse at Stamford Bridge. There is very little spirit in the camp right now and the manager is trying to instill some discipline, and rapidly losing friends. Hes sacked the skipper Richard Dunne and seemingly also fallen out with John Carew and Stephen Ireland. They have been backed in to 4.5/1 to get relegated and I think all of the bad news is already factored in and we are reaching the time to back them to stay up. The bottom line is that Villa need freshening up, but they do have money to spend and intend to spend it in the January transfer window, whereas most of the teams around them dont. As long as they spend wisely, money will talk and they will stay up.

Advices

Well, we could not have called the Ashes series any better. We laid Australia at the start at 6/4 and then locked in profits by backing them at 6/1 after they lost the second test in Adelaide. We then backed England to retain the Ashes at 4/7 when the score was one each and England cruised to victory in Melbourne to win the bet with a game to spare. Someone commented here on the blog saying that the latter trade was a crazy bet. Well he was wrong, but its differences of opinion that make a market and the great thing about exchange betting is that if you get things right and the market moves in your favour, you can take profits. England will be trying to win the series to rub Australias noses in it in the final test at Sydney, and they are a much better side than Australia. However, Im very happy with the profits weve banked and for me its a no bet.

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